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Inflation targeting in emerging economies: the assessment of the polish experience (1995-2015)

Jean-Christophe Poutineau
CREM, UMR CNRS 6211, Université de Rennes I, Rennes, France

Gauthier Vermandel
Université Paris-Dauphine & PSL Research University, Paris, France

Auteur correspondant : Jean-Christophe Poutineau, jean-christophe.poutineau@univ-rennes1.fr

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to assess the Polish monetary policy experience between 1995Q1 and 2014Q4 in the light of the three equation new Keynesian model estimated with Bayesian econometrics. Our results show that the National Bank of Poland has performed relatively well in stabilizing activity and inflation as the results observed are very close to the ones obtained under either an aggressive simple interest rule.

Keywords: monetary policy, Taylor rule, DSGE model, Bayesian estimation.

JEL Classification : F32, F34, F36, F44.